New York: With the prospect of a government shutdown looming this Friday, US President Donald Trump is turning once again to the politics of fear and “paranoia” that catapulted him to power, suggesting that Americans should all be living in a sense of profound dread as long as concrete isn’t poured into a wall along the US-Mexico border and that a ‘national emergency’ is business as usual. Trump’s border wall is his signature pledge to American voters that is threatening to become a totem for the US president’s unfulfilled promises. He heads to the dusty desert town of El Paso in Texas tonight to rally his voters on his ‘American carnage’ theme that he says drives his base ‘nuts’.
“President is on sound legal ground to declare a National Emergency. There have been 58 National Emergencies declared since the law was enacted in 1976, and 31 right now that are currently active, so this is hardly unprecedented”, Trump tweeted, quoting a Republican Congressman.
“Trump will create a circus of fear and paranoia about immigration and don’t believe it”, Trump’s potential opponents are telling supporters because they know exactly where this is going. After all the hot air in his alliteration-littered State of the Union speech which meandered from World War 2 to the moon and back to dark prophecies about illegal immigration, Trump is firmly back where he wants to be: partisan battleground.
So, what’s new? For one, Trump’s opponents are hitting back harder than his 2016 rivals and on the same social platforms that Trump relies on. Sample this excerpt from Texas phenom Beto O’Rourke’s Medium post: “Monday we will welcome the President to one of the safest cities in the United States. Safe not because of walls, and not in spite of the fact that we are a city of immigrants. Safe because we are a city of immigrants and because we treat each other with dignity and respect. A city that has the opportunity to lead on the most important issues before us, out of experience, out of compassion and out of a fierce determination to see this country live its ideals and rise to its full potential.”
Many in this Texas city of dusty desert winds bristle at the prospect of their home becoming a border wall poster child. O’Rourke will help lead a Monday evening march opposing the wall with dozens of local civic, human rights and Hispanic groups at the same time Trump is holding his rally. Organizers expect thousands to turn out.
If immigrants are good for the country, the border is secure and walls end lives instead of saving them, then why does the president try to scare us about immigrants and the border and take our land to build a wall we don’t need? https://t.co/zxgmDlf26D
— Beto O’Rourke (@BetoORourke) February 9, 2019
“Simply put, walls work and walls save lives”, Trump belted out in his SOTU. It’s the same line he used in the run-up to the midterms where his party got a shellacking, it’s what led to the five week shutdown and is threatening to bring on the next one. Yet, Trump continues to lean on scare stories of “adversaries abroad,” and “large, organized caravans on the march to the United States.” Sample these tweets ahead of the El Paso photo op:
“President is on sound legal ground to declare a National Emergency. There have been 58 National Emergencies declared since the law was enacted in 1976, and 31 right now that are currently active, so this is hardly unprecedented.” Congressman @tommcclintock — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 10, 2019
The Democrats do not want us to detain, or send back, criminal aliens! This is a brand new demand. Crazy!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 11, 2019
Republicans are worried that Stephen Miller, the firebrand immigration hawk in the White House, is going to convince Trump to back off from any deal that doesn’t include wall funding. Walking the party off a cliff is a seductive idea that keeps repeating itself in many storylines that have played out in this current White House.
“Give him a bamboo curtain, tell him it’s a wall and he’ll take it and sell it to his base as the exact wall he promised”, said Charlie Sykes of The Bulwark about Trump’s use of the wall’s power as visual imagery rather than reality.
What’s the fight about?
The fight over ICE detentions goes to the core of each party’s view on immigration. Republicans favor rigid enforcement of immigration laws and have little interest in easing them if Democrats refuse to fund the Mexican border wall. Democrats despise the proposed wall and, in return for border security funds, want to curb what they see as unnecessarily harsh enforcement by ICE.
What do Democrats want?
Democrats are pushing for 16,500 detention beds for people detained in the U.S. They think this is a good tactic to turn the focus on the Trump administration’s interior enforcement policies.
What are Republicans saying?
Republicans say this will allow criminals to prowl around freely; they want undocumented immigrants who commit crimes in the U.S. to be exempt from the 16,500 cap and Democrats disagree with this. This is a fundamental disagreement in the talks. How much to spend on border barriers and where such structures will go is also being debated. This is December once more.
So, what happens next?
Democratic and Republican negotiators are meeting Monday in a last-ditch effort to salvage faltering government funding talks amid a raging debate over immigration policy. If talks fail, Congress and the White House will need to assess fallback options to avoid another shutdown.
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